I hear your points, but im not technically inclined enough to get the information you are looking for. More so I wanted to begin the discussion since such a critical opportunity is coming up and there is little to no discussion on the subject.
As for non-whale lp’s, if bottom line was their biggest concern they would be lp’ing on sushiswap already because you can earn sushi on top of transaction fees. So a further exodus is imo overblown.
However I would be curious for someone to analyze the overlap between all uniswap lp’s and uni holders. I would wager its greater than 70% when compared to overall liquidity provided by the overlap.