Hi @drllau_LexDAO,
Thank you for your comment!
a) We can use all the data we have to build a predictive model that estimates the likelihood of success of an incentive program on any given pool. However, we want to clarify that our current scope does not include this, especially not for UniChain. We can consider expanding to include UniChain and wider scopes in the future if the DAO provides such direction for Forse.
b) We can estimate which defectors leave the chain or the protocol by looking at bridging activity and balances. We can already see the trends between protocol and chain exodus post-campaign from competitor comparisons that we showed in the presentation. DAO members will soon be able to interact with the dashboard to examine these trends.
c) This is something we can do; adjusting values for CPI and/or total crypto market cap can provide additional insights. However, all chains apart from Arbitrum are very young, and most pools there are less than 1 year old, so the insights gained from such adjustments might be limited.